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2024 US Elections: The Unpredictable Formula Behind Trump’s Base and Polling Challenges

As the 2024 US election approaches, polling challenges persist, particularly in gauging Donald Trump’s supporters, who are often distrustful of surveys. Trump expresses confidence in a potential landslide victory, despite polls showing a tight race against Kamala Harris. Analysts caution that a slight shift in swing states could lead to unexpected results, recalling previous misjudgments in 2016 and 2020. With economic concerns at the forefront for voters, both candidates vie for their attention, leaving the outcome uncertain.

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