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Analyzing Polling Mishaps: Did They Fail the 2024 Election?

The 2024 US presidential election saw Donald Trump securing a surprising victory, raising questions about the accuracy of election polls. While polls slightly underestimated Trump in battleground states, they accurately captured the tight race. Experts point to pollsters’ reliance on outdated models and assumptions about voter behavior, particularly among younger and Latino voters. The decline in survey response rates and growing distrust in institutions have further complicated polling accuracy. As debates continue, analysts stress the need for a return to traditional polling methods for more reliable results in future elections.

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