According to British polling firm Focaldata, Kamala Harris shows a slight lead over Donald Trump in pivotal states like Michigan and Nevada. Harris gains support from older white women, while Trump appeals to younger African American and Latino men. Despite Harris’s lead on issues such as climate change and healthcare, Trump is ahead on economic and immigration topics. Analysts caution that small statistical errors could shift the results, with Harris narrowly ahead in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Trump leads in Georgia and North Carolina. The predictions used a comprehensive voter data approach to assess state-level outcomes.