A recent poll conducted by INSA for the Bild newspaper indicates that a coalition between the Christian Democratic Union/Christian Social Union (CDU/CSU) as the major partner and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) as the minor partner is the most likely post-election alliance. The CDU/CSU holds a slight lead at 31%, with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) at 20%, followed by the SPD with 17%. Meanwhile, current Chancellor Olaf Scholz maintains a 16% approval rating in potential direct elections.