Michel Barnier’s government faces potential collapse as two motions of censure are set to be examined following the invocation of Article 49.3 on the social security finance bill. With support needed from Marine Le Pen’s National Rally and the Socialist party, negotiations are ongoing but the likelihood of survival appears slim. If Barnier is dismissed, he may be succeeded by a technical government to ensure state operations continue amidst budget uncertainties. The outcome remains uncertain, with the possibility of further motions of censure looming.